Security spillover: regional implications of evolving deterrence on the Korean Peninsula / Toby Dalton, Narushige Michishita, and Tong Zhao
Publication details: Washington : Carnegie Endowment for International Peace , 2018 Description: 54 p. (pdf)Subject(s): Desnuclearización | Política nuclear | Armas nucleares | Corea (República) | Corea (República Popular) | Estados Unidos | ChinaOnline resources: Acceso al documento (intranet) | Acceso al documento (internet) Scope and content: Regardless of the prospects of denuclearizing North Korea, the United States and South Korea (ROK) are likely to continue strengthening capabilities to deter North Korean coercive behavior. Yet, as they do this, it will become increasingly important to assess the regional implications of their actions. Their efforts have already had, and will continue to have, broad spillover effects, potentially creating new tensions with China and complicating alliance relations with Japan. All of the prospective deterrence options could fuel misperception and lead to further instability in the region.Regardless of the prospects of denuclearizing North Korea, the United States and South Korea (ROK) are likely to continue strengthening capabilities to deter North Korean coercive behavior. Yet, as they do this, it will become increasingly important to assess the regional implications of their actions. Their efforts have already had, and will continue to have, broad spillover effects, potentially creating new tensions with China and complicating alliance relations with Japan. All of the prospective deterrence options could fuel misperception and lead to further instability in the region.
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